Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000093 0.000098 0.000103 0.000109 0.000116 0.000123 0.000131
2024-12-29 0.000086 0.000093 0.000101 0.000111 0.000122 0.000135 0.000150
2025-01-05 0.000079 0.000088 0.000097 0.000109 0.000122 0.000139 0.000161
2025-01-12 0.000073 0.000082 0.000092 0.000105 0.000121 0.000140 0.000166
2025-01-19 0.000069 0.000078 0.000088 0.000102 0.000119 0.000141 0.000172
2025-01-26 0.000064 0.000073 0.000084 0.000098 0.000116 0.000139 0.000172
2025-02-02 0.000063 0.000072 0.000083 0.000098 0.000118 0.000145 0.000184
2025-02-09 0.000062 0.000071 0.000084 0.000100 0.000122 0.000153 0.000201
2025-02-16 0.000061 0.000071 0.000084 0.000102 0.000126 0.000161 0.000218
2025-02-23 0.000061 0.000072 0.000087 0.000107 0.000135 0.000177 0.000249
2025-03-02 0.000059 0.000070 0.000084 0.000104 0.000133 0.000176 0.000252
2025-03-09 0.000056 0.000067 0.000081 0.000100 0.000129 0.000173 0.000251
2025-03-16 0.000054 0.000065 0.000079 0.000100 0.000130 0.000178 0.000266
2025-03-23 0.000054 0.000065 0.000080 0.000101 0.000135 0.000189 0.000295
2025-03-30 0.000052 0.000063 0.000077 0.000099 0.000134 0.000190 0.000305
2025-04-06 0.000049 0.000060 0.000074 0.000096 0.000130 0.000187 0.000305
2025-04-13 0.000048 0.000058 0.000072 0.000094 0.000128 0.000186 0.000310
2025-04-20 0.000045 0.000055 0.000069 0.000090 0.000123 0.000180 0.000303
2025-04-27 0.000045 0.000055 0.000069 0.000090 0.000125 0.000187 0.000326
2025-05-04 0.000044 0.000055 0.000069 0.000092 0.000130 0.000198 0.000362
2025-05-11 0.000044 0.000055 0.000070 0.000093 0.000134 0.000209 0.000402
2025-05-18 0.000044 0.000056 0.000072 0.000098 0.000143 0.000232 0.000484
2025-05-25 0.000043 0.000054 0.000070 0.000095 0.000140 0.000229 0.000486